Robert Hirsch: piekolie wordt zoveel mogelijk verzwegen.

Dit stukje bestaat uit twee delen.

Deel 1: Robert Hirsch over dat binnen 2 a 5 jaar de wereldwijde olieproductie permanent gaat dalen en dat de gevolgen daarvan catastrofaal zullen zijn. Klik hier voor artikel.
Verder naar onderen worden enkele quotes uit het artikel getoond.

Deel 2: Robert Hirsch over dat binnen regeringskringen het “not done” is om in het openbaar (de media) over piekolie te praten.
“The people that I was dealing with were high in the laboratory level. They were getting their instructions from people on the political side of the DoE, at high levels. After the work we did on the 2005 study and the follow-up of 2006, the Department of Energy headquarters completely cut off all support for oil peaking and decline analysis. The people that I was working with at the National Energy Technology Laboratory were good people, they saw the problem (piekolie), they saw how difficult the consequences would be – you know, the potential for huge damage – yet they were told : « No more work, no more discussion. »”
Klik hier voor het artikel.
Verder naar onderen worden enkele quotes uit het artikel getoond.

Enkele quotes uit deel 1:(vetgedrukt zijn de gestelde vragen aan Robert)
A decline of world oil production within 2 to 5 years… What would happen if you’re right ?
It’s going to be a mess, and all of a sudden it’ll be obvious.

According to you, what would be the pace of decline, once that decline starts ?
That’s a crucial question, because the decline rate is going to determine how much trouble we’re in. In the book we look at two decline rates : 2 % and 4 % a year. Clearly the smaller the decline rate is, the less difficult it will be to deal with. 4 % is really catastrophic. 2 % is going to be less difficult but still very difficult.

What should we expect, before the world is able to catch up with the ‘peak oil’ issue ?
From a world standpoint, Growth Domestic Product will decline every year for over a decade, and could easily be down 20 or 30 % over this period of time. That’s what I mean when I say « catastrophic ».
Wherever you live, somebody has to get food to you. And modern farming is run by oil, because the tractors that plow the ground and plant the seeds, and do the harvesting, run on oil. And then you have to transport the food to some kind of processor, and again, oil takes the food from there to the consumer.

Enkele quotes uit deel 2:(vetgedrukt zijn de gestelde vragen aan Robert)
What happened after you published your 2005 report on ‘peak oil’ for the US Department of Energy (DoE) ?
The people that I was dealing with said : « No more work on peak oil, no more talk about it. »

People that were high in the administration hierarchy ?
The people that I was dealing with were high in the laboratory level. They were getting their instructions from people on the political side of the DoE, at high levels.
After the work we did on the 2005 study and the follow-up of 2006, the Department of Energy headquarters completely cut off all support for oil peaking and decline analysis. The people that I was working with at the National Energy Technology Laboratory were good people, they saw the problem, they saw how difficult the consequences would be – you know, the potential for huge damage – yet they were told : « No more work, no more discussion. »

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Man, 53 jaar, Nederland.
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